Sportsbooks Release Cleveland Browns Win Total Following Deshaun Watson Suspension

It was a long time coming, but it finally happened — the Deshaun Watson suspension saga came to an end with Watson and the league agreeing to an 11-game suspension and a $5 million fine. Throughout the offseason, many sportsbooks did have futures odds for the Browns posted, but not a win total while Watson’s future was in doubt.

But now that we know how long Watson will get suspended, sportsbooks have released a win total for the Cleveland Browns.

Cleveland Browns Win Total Set At 8.5 Games

Once the news of Watson’s suspension broke, many sportsbooks posted a win total for the Cleveland Browns:

SportsbookWin Total
DraftKingsOver 8.5 (-110)
Under 8.5 (-140)
FanDuelOver 8.5 (+135)
Under 8.5 (-160)
CaesarsOver 8.5 (+130)
Under 8.5 (-150)
PointsBetOver 8.5 (+135)
Under (-165)
BetRiversOver 8.5 (+123)
Under 8.5 (-150)

No waiting for wagers: Ohio sports betting to launch at midnight on New Year’s Day

At those odds, the Browns have an implied probability of covering the over, ranging from 42.55 to 47.62%. But the chance Cleveland’s win total is under 8.5 games ranges from 58.33 to 61.54%.

Watson will return in Week 13 when the Browns travel to Houston to face his former team, the Texans. But the difficulty level gets ramped up the rest of the way. He’ll face the Bengals in the next week, followed by the Ravens, Saints, Commanders, and Steelers.

With the rust Watson will inevitably have after not playing for almost two seasons, it will be hard for the Browns to run the table. It may be more realistic for them to go 4-2 or 3-3. Should that be the case, Jacoby Brissett will need to lead the Browns to five or six wins (maybe more), which will be easier said than done.

The Browns have a solid team surrounding Brissett, so they should be able to record wins against the Jets (Week 2) and Falcons (Week 4). But otherwise, it is hard to say. A healthy Carolina team quarterback by a motivated Baker Mayfield will be tough to beat. Pittsburgh (Week 3) is never an easy team to face.

From Weeks 5-8, they face the Chargers, Patriots, Ravens, and Bengals. They could easily go winless in that stretch. Following their bye week (Week 9), they face Miami, Buffalo, and Tampa Bay.

Losing money: Look back at the Browns’ ATS record in 2021

Betting Analysis

Brissett has had some nice moments in the NFL, but his record as a starter is 14-23. To be fair, the teams surrounding him were not always as talented as the team surrounding him now. But from what he has shown over the years, it is unlikely he has what it takes to lead this Browns team to a 6-5 or even a 5-6 record.

Anything less would be asking too much from a guy (Watson) that has not played in almost two years once he finally takes the field.

AP Photo/Nick Cammett

About the Author

Travis Pulver

Travis Pulver is a lifelong football fan, something he says comes naturally having been born in the football-crazy state of Texas. Through the years, his love of sports has extended into baseball, basketball, golf, and rugby. Life currently finds him in Indiana with his wife and two kids.